Voting for the 5th and final phase of assembly elections concluded in Jharkhand yesterday and the exit polls were out. The sitting BJP government and incumbent Cheif Minister Raghubar Das might find the exit poll predictions irksome as the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha (JMM), and Congress coalition looks set to form the government.
As per the India Today-Axis, “My India Exit Poll” BJP might win only 22-32 seats in the 81 seats assembly while the JMM and Congress coalition might sweep it away with 38-50 seats falling in there kitty. The majority mark in the assembly is at least 41 seats.
However, in terms of total vote share, BJP stands close to the JMM-Congress coalition at 34%. The JMM-Congress coalition is expected to garner 37% vote share in the assembly election. Other parties like RJD, AJSU, and JVM are predicted to get 2-4, 3-5, and 2-4 seats respectively.
BJP’s vote share is declined as compared to the last election as per the exit polls. The vote share has also came down from the general elections that were held early this year as shown by the survey.
The Jharkhand exit poll is another manifestation of BJP’s falling foothold which has suffered setbacks in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, and in recent Maharashtra. The number of states with BJP’s Cheif Minister has also been on a decrease since 2017.
Counting for the Jharkhand Assembly elections would be held on Monday that is 23rd December 2019 and the picture of new government would then become clear.